12 min read Updated 3 Jan 2026

Most Reliable Bmw Models: Real MOT Data Analysis

We analysed 1,808,787 real UK MOT tests to reveal which Bmw models pass most often, which years to buy, and which to avoid entirely.

1,808,787 MOT tests analysed

Real DVSA data covering every Bmw model from 2000-2023

Key Findings

Most Reliable Model

Bmw 340I

91.2% pass rate

Best Single Year

M3 2008 Petrol

87.4% pass rate

Bmw vs National Average

78.5% vs 71.5%

+7.0% above average

Proven Durability Champion

M3 2009

+30.2% at 13+ years

Bmw has built its reputation on reliability, but does the data back it up? We analysed 1,808,787 real MOT tests from the DVSA database to find out exactly which Bmw models live up to the hype and which ones fall short.

This isn't survey data or owner opinions. These are actual pass/fail results from UK garages, covering every Bmw model sold in the UK from 2000 to 2023.

How Bmw Compares to Rivals

Bmw ranks #22 out of 75 manufacturers with a 78.5% average MOT pass rate. That's above the national average of 71.5%:

Manufacturer Pass Rate Rank Tests Analysed
Lexus 83.3% #18 157,583
Bmw 78.5% #22 1,808,787
Jaguar 78.2% #23 336,140
Audi 77.9% #25 1,663,207
Mercedes-Benz 76.9% #27 1,662,304
Volvo 73.2% #35 556,785

The verdict: Lexus maintains a lead among competitors, while Bmw sits at #22. However, newer Bmw models significantly outperform this average.

Best Bmw Models by MOT Pass Rate

Looking at overall reliability across all years, here's how Bmw's core models rank against the 71.5% national average:

Model Pass Rate vs National (71.5%) Tests Years
340I 91.2% +19.7% 834 2016-2018
M135I XDRIVE AUTO 90.3% +18.8% 4,795 2019-2021
320I M SPORT AUTO 90.1% +18.6% 910 2020-2021
I8 90.1% +18.6% 2,215 2014-2019
740 90.0% +18.5% 1,888 2016-2020
220I SE AUTO 89.9% +18.4% 544 2018-2020
7 SERIES 89.5% +18.0% 2,360 2012-2022
220I LUXURY AUTO 89.1% +17.5% 1,106 2018-2020
M2 88.8% +17.3% 3,641 2016-2020
440 88.2% +16.7% 4,839 2016-2020

Top performer

The 340I dramatically outperforms other Bmws with an 91.2% pass rate, putting it among the most reliable cars in the database.

Proven Durability Champions: Which Bmw Models Age Best?

These Bmw models have proven their durability with 11+ years of real-world MOT data. They're compared against the national average for cars of the same age:

Overall Bmw Durability Rating: Excellent

High-confidence data: Only vehicles with 11+ years of MOT history and 500+ tests are included in this ranking.

Model Year Fuel vs Same-Age Average Tested At Pass Rate
M3 2009 Petrol +30.2% 13+ years 87.5%
M3 2008 Petrol +30.1% 13+ years 87.4%
M3 2004 Petrol +26.1% 13+ years 83.3%
M3 2002 Petrol +25.8% 13+ years 83.0%
M3 2005 Petrol +25.7% 13+ years 83.0%
M3 2011 Petrol +24.9% 11-12 years 87.7%
M3 2003 Petrol +24.6% 13+ years 81.9%
Z4 2009 Petrol +23.1% 13+ years 80.4%
530 2009 Diesel +20.1% 13+ years 77.5%
Z4 2010 Petrol +19.4% 13+ years 76.7%

How to read this: A score of "+15%" means the model passes MOTs 15 percentage points more often than the average car of the same age. These are proven results from vehicles that have genuinely aged well.

Proven durability champion

The M3 2009 outperforms the average 13+ years-old car by 30 percentage points, with 728 MOT tests proving its reliability.

Early Performers: Strong Start, Unproven Durability

These newer Bmw models (3-6 years old) show strong early results, but haven't yet proven long-term durability:

Important caveat: Durability NOT yet proven - these vehicles have not been tested at older ages. Older versions of the same model may tell a different story at 11+ years.

Model Year Fuel vs Same-Age Average Tested At Pass Rate
X6 2017 Diesel +8.8% 5-6 years 90.0%
X1 2017 Petrol +8.6% 5-6 years 89.8%
1 SERIES 2016 Petrol +8.4% 5-6 years 89.6%
5 SERIES 2018 Petrol +7.9% 5-6 years 89.1%
M2 2017 Petrol +7.8% 5-6 years 89.0%
2 SERIES 2016 Petrol +7.8% 5-6 years 89.0%
X1 2016 Petrol +7.8% 5-6 years 89.0%
5 SERIES 2018 Diesel +7.4% 5-6 years 88.6%

What this means: These models are performing well in their early years, but we recommend checking the Durability Champions section above to see how older versions of the same model family have fared over time.

Bmw Hybrids vs Petrol vs Diesel

Bmw's fuel type comparison shows clear differences in reliability:

Fuel Type Average Pass Rate vs National Tests
Electric 88.5% +17.0% 11,716
Plug-in Hybrid 88.0% +16.5% 9,492
Hybrid Electric 86.1% +14.6% 58,912
Petrol 79.9% +8.4% 602,230
Diesel 77.0% +5.5% 1,096,672

The hybrid advantage: Bmw hybrids pass MOTs 6% more often than petrols and 9% more often than diesels.

Bmw Models to Avoid

Not all Bmws are reliable. These specific model/year combinations have failure rates well above average:

Model Year Fuel Pass Rate Tests
330E SE PRO AUTO 2020 Hybrid Electric 80.7% 1,043
330E SPORT PRO AUTO 2020 Hybrid Electric 81.7% 667
330 2020 Hybrid Electric 82.5% 5,175
5 SERIES 2020 Hybrid Electric 83.1% 977
330E M SPORT AUTO 2020 Hybrid Electric 83.6% 1,555
X5 XDRIVE45E M SPORT AUTO 2020 Hybrid Electric 83.8% 1,172
640 2018 Diesel 80.8% (-3.7% vs same-age) 608
318 2020 Diesel 84.2% 527
X2 XDRIVE20D M SPORT AUTO 2018 Diesel 81.0% (-4.4% vs same-age) 579
3 SERIES 2020 Diesel 84.8% 2,486

Pattern to avoid

These vehicles fail MOTs more often than they pass.

What Goes Wrong on Bmws?

When Bmws fail MOTs, these are the most common causes:

Failure Category Total Failures
1. Tyres 128,869
2. Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 124,637
3. Suspension 86,031
4. Brakes 80,236
5. Visibility 60,173
6. Noise, emissions and leaks 32,004
7. Body, chassis, structure 17,451

Pre-MOT checklist for Bmw owners:

  • Ensure tyres meet 1.6mm tread requirement
  • Check all bulbs (number plate lights are commonly missed)
  • Inspect suspension bushes and anti-roll bar links
  • Check brake pad thickness and disc condition
  • Clean windscreen and check wiper blade condition

Frequently Asked Questions

Based on 1,808,787 MOT tests, the Bmw 340I is the most reliable Bmw with an 91.2% pass rate.
Bmw ranks #22 out of 75 manufacturers with a 78.5% average MOT pass rate. This places them behind Lexus, but ahead of Jaguar, Audi, Mercedes-Benz.
Yes. Bmw hybrids average 86.1% MOT pass rate compared to 79.9% for petrol and 77.0% for diesel.

Our Buying Recommendations

Best If Buying Nearly New

2019-2023 models with highest early pass rates

  • Limited data for recent models

Note: Long-term durability not yet proven for these newer models

Best If Buying Used (Proven)

11+ years of proven durability data

  • M3 2002-2011: +27% vs same-age (proven at 11+ years)
  • Z4 2009-2012: +20% vs same-age (proven at 11+ years)
  • 530 2009: +20% vs same-age (proven at 11+ years)

Bmw Models to Avoid (Proven Poor)

Proven below average at 11+ years - not just old, genuinely problematic

  • No major proven reliability concerns

About This Data

This analysis uses real MOT test results from the DVSA database, covering 1,808,787 tests on Bmw vehicles between 2000 and 2023.

Year-Adjusted Scoring (v2.1): In year-by-year breakdowns, each vehicle is compared against the national average for vehicles of the same model year. This removes the natural bias where newer cars pass more often, allowing fair comparisons across eras.

Evidence-Tiered Durability: We separate "proven durability" (vehicles tested at 11+ years old) from "early performers" (3-6 years old). Only vehicles with proven long-term data are used for durability claims. Age-band comparisons use weighted national averages.

Minimum thresholds: 500 tests for proven durability rankings, 1,000 tests for early performer rankings. Pass rates are calculated as first-time passes, excluding retests.

The overall national average MOT pass rate is 71.51% based on 32.3 million tests across all manufacturers. Year-specific averages range from ~59% (2009 vehicles) to ~88% (2020 vehicles).

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